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NIAC Statement on How the U.S. and Iran Can Overcome Hurdles to Negotiations

Washington, DC – Jamal Abdi, President of the National Iranian American Council, issued the following statement after Iranian officials, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, issued statements on negotiations with Iran over the weekend: “Remarks from Iranian officials over the weekend suggest there is an opening for diplomacy if the United States focuses on realistic goals.  “The message from Tehran this weekend, while not directly addressing a  letter purportedly sent from Trump to Khamenei, was that if the U.S. seeks an agreement that verifiably ensures Iran does not develop nuclear weapons, the door for talks may be open. However, the message was primarily that, if the U.S. seeks total capitulation and conventional disarmament from Iran, there won’t be talks. “The President has publicly stated that he seeks negotiations focused on ensuring Iran does not develop nuclear weapons. However, we are concerned his administration is sending mixed signals to Iran about the scope of negotiations beyond the nuclear file that could tank hopes for negotiations. We are reminded of then-Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s infamous “12 demands” of maximalist preconditions for an agreement in Trump’s first term, which only accomplished the neocon’s goal of ensuring the President would never get to the

What happens if Israel strikes Iran’s nuclear program?

While President Trump has appealed directly to Iran’s leader seeking negotiations, U.S. intelligence reportedly believes that Israel could attempt to strike Iran’s nuclear program by the summer of 2025. What implications would Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear program have on U.S. policy? Can Israel strike Iran’s nuclear program without U.S. involvement? Israel would likely require U.S. military capabilities to destroy Iran’s deeply-buried nuclear facilities because it does not possess massive ordinance penetrators sufficient for Iran’s hardened sites, long-range bombers capable of carrying bombs of such weight, and sufficient aerial refueling capabilities for such a distance. Iran’s nuclear program is much bigger and more difficult to destroy than the Osirak reactor in Iraq that Israel destroyed in 1981 or the Al Kibar reactor in Syria that Israel destroyed in 2007. Iran’s nuclear program is much further from Israel’s borders, dispersed at multiple sites throughout the country and in some cases buried deeply under mountains, like the Fordow enrichment site. Even if the U.S. kept its military role to a minimum, Iran would likely consider any Israeli strike to be an American action as well and respond accordingly. How long would Israeli strikes set back Iran’s nuclear program?  U.S. intelligence indicates an

NIAC Statement on President Trump’s Letter to Supreme Leader Khamenei

Washington, DC – Jamal Abdi, President of the National Iranian American Council, issued the following statement regarding reports that President Trump sent a letter to Supreme Leader Khamenei on pursuing negotiations. “It is significant that President Trump has appealed directly to Iran’s Supreme Leader to initiate nuclear talks, following many statements indicating his interest in a deal. But what matters is the content of that letter. Trump needs to make Iran an offer to negotiate under conditions it can accept, rather than seek to ensure it is an offer Iran can’t refuse.  “We commend President Trump for pursuing diplomacy with Iran to prevent nuclear proliferation and a disastrous and avoidable war. It remains to be seen, however, if figures who seek conflict both in the Trump administration and in Tehran will sabotage an opportunity for peace. Mike Pompeo and John Bolton helped ensure President Trump never made it to the negotiating table with Iran in his first term by issuing provocative policies and unrealistic demands, time will tell if neocons in the President’s midst will once again frustrate diplomatic efforts. The maximum pressure that the President said he only signed reluctantly has already risked poisoning the well as hardliners in

NIAC Statement on Reports of Russian Mediation Between the U.S. and Iran

Washington, DC – Ryan Costello, Policy Director of the National Iranian American Council, issued the following statement regarding reports that President Trump asked Russia to mediate with Iran on the nuclear stand-off and other tensions between the U.S. and Iran: “Anyone who has watched tensions build between the U.S. and Iran since 2018 knows that the current trendlines lead to war and proliferation, and that mediation is urgently necessary to get the parties to the negotiating table. That Russia has been tapped by President Trump to serve as an intermediary between the U.S. and Iran is not surprising, and could help prevent an early impasse between the two parties from solidifying. “Opportunities for negotiations have proven fleeting between the U.S. and Iran, so it is urgent that they seize this moment to prevent an escalation toward conflict. “Of course, both sides have reason to distrust Russia as a possible mediator. Iran will know that Russia will look after its own interests first rather than Iran’s, while the Trump administration is still seeking a peace agreement to halt the brutal war initiated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. “Yet, there is also significant upside for Russia as a mediator. Russia has mediated

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