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This election and its aftermath is much bigger than Mir Hossein Mousavi.
Its aftermath will have far reaching effects, which still cannot be fully known.  Ahmadinejad and Khamenei have clearly won the first round of this power struggle. Yet it remains incredibly unclear what cost they will have to pay for that victory.  It is clear that a large segment of society will likely become even more alienated.  After Khatami’s reforms were systematically rolled back by more conservative elements in the government, many Iranians gave up on politics — only to gamble that Mousavi could make good on the promise of reform so many seek.
The hardliners have won this battle, but at the apparent cost of weakening the foundations of the Islamic Republic.
We appear to be only in the early stages of an event that no one can predict.

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