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NIAC's DC Spring Fundraiser Reception & Dinner
Friday, March 29, 2013
By: Sahar Fahimi
You Are Cordially Invited to NIAC's Spring Fundraiser Reception & Dinner: Strengthening Iranian Americans' Voice in Washington Amid Sanctions and the Threat of War Featuring Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson, Fomer Chief of Staff to Secretary of State Colin Powell
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Foreign Policy: Our Myopic Approach to Iran
Wednesday, March 27, 2013
By: Stephen Walt, Foreign Policy
When historians of American foreign policy look back a few decades from now, they will shake their heads in wonder at the incompetence of the U.S. effort to deal with Iran. If you don't believe me, you should take a look at a new report from the National Iranian-American Council.
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Report: Why Sanctions On Iran Aren't Working
Tuesday, March 26, 2013
By: Bijan Khajehpour, Reza Marashi, & Trita Parsi (Special Report)
Iran is currently facing the most severe and strictest sanctions ever imposed on a country. Though these measures seek to curb Iranian nuclear ambitions, a recent IAEA report suggests continued nuclear advances by Iran. This begs the question: are sanctions affecting Tehran's nuclear calculus?
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NIAC Member Survey Shows Growing Concern about War and Sanctions
Thursday, October 18, 2012
By: Nobar Elmi - News
Concern about war with Iran has only intensified since our last member survey, and our members overwhelmingly chose to keep preventing war as NIAC's top priority.
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BBC Persian: Who Beats the Drums of War?
Thursday, August 23, 2012
By: BBC Persian
BBC Persian interviews NIAC's President Trita Parsi on the threat of war from Israel and how the United States election plays a role.
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HuffPost Live: Crying Wolf on War
Thursday, August 23, 2012
By: Mike Sacks (HuffPost Live)
Huff Post Live interviews NIAC's Policy Director, Jamal Abdi on the possibility of war with Iran.
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Democracy Now: From Military Threats to Crippling Sanctions
Wednesday, August 15, 2012
By: Amy Goodman (Democracy Now)
U.S.-Israel Posturing on Iran Stokes Fears of War. Democracy Now interviews NIAC's President, Trita Parsi
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Israel's Diplomatic Scare Game
Thursday, August 9, 2012
By: Trita Parsi - Analysis (special to Salon.com)
Like clockwork, another flurry of high-level senior U.S. officials visiting Israel took place this past week. As has become tradition, Iran topped the agenda. And once again, Israeli officials threatened to take unilateral military action unless the U.S. upped the ante on Iran.
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ABC News: Iran Invokes Its 'Axis of Resistance'
Wednesday, August 8, 2012
By: Eleanor Hall (ABC News)
Iran is revealing just how high the stakes have become in the Syrian conflict, by sending its security chief to meet with its key regional ally. ABC interviews NIAC's Reza Marashi.
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Why the UK Embassy in Iran Was Attacked: The Domestic Angle
Friday, December 2, 2011
By: Trita Parsi - Analysis
The disgraceful attack by hardline Basijis against the British embassy in Tehran appears on the surface to be a response to Britain's role in imposing crippling sanctions on Iran. But there is more to this picture.
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The Iranian-American Game of Chicken
Monday, November 14, 2011
By: Reza Marashi - Analysis
An increasingly dangerous cycle of miscalculation, misunderstanding and escalation has fostered an Iranian government view that time is on its side.
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Khamenei's Power Consolidation Gambit
Monday, November 14, 2011
By: Sahar Namazikhah & Reza Marashi
Iran's Supreme Leader has embarked upon a sustained strategy of eliminating political opposition; decreasing turbulence during his reign, and shaping Iran's long-term political development around his rule.
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The Conservative Rise and the Potential Fall of the Presidency
Monday, October 17, 2011
By: Reza Marashi - Analysis
The Supreme Leader's suggestion that Iran's presidency might be eliminated is part of larger undemocratic trend undemocratic trend in Iranian politics where political change has been engineered and managed.
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Experts Discuss U.S. Iran relations at NIAC Leadership Conference
Thursday, October 13, 2011
By: Loren White
As part of its first annual Leadership Conference last week, NIAC hosted an off the record panel for conference attendees featuring key leaders in the academic and political spheres in the United States and Europe working on Iran-U.S. foreign policy issues.
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Iran: The Next Generation
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
By: Reza Marashi and Jason Rezaian - Analysis
For several weeks now, observers and analysts of Iran have been referring to an emerging rift between the Iranian president and the country's Supreme Leader. The recent back-and-forth between Ahmadinejad and Khamenei reflects a deeper generational shift.
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Why sanctions against Iran won't work
Saturday, June 4, 2011
By: Reza Marashi - Analysis
For decision-makers in Tehran, the heart of the matter is how they perceive that the West will (and will not) react to its foreign policy posturing in general and the nuclear question in particular. The Iranian narrative can be summarized as follows: Former President Mohammad Khatami's détente failed, so Iran must now deal with the West from a position of strength.
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The Islamic Republic's Emerging Cyber War
Saturday, April 30, 2011
By: Reza Marashi - Analysis
While foreign-inspired virus attacks command the attention of policymakers and pundits in the West, the Islamic Republic's long-term cyber war strategy is slowly succeeding.
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Subsidy Reform & Regime Resilience in Iran
Tuesday, March 29, 2011
By: Reza Marashi - Analysis
Though still in its infant stages, subsidy reform demonstrates the interrelationship between Iran's economic realities and the government's efforts to remain in control.
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Iran Raises The Stakes: The Istanbul Talks & Iran's Political Psychology
Wednesday, February 23, 2011
By: Reza Marashi - Analysis
The political psychology of talks with the P5+1and fluid facts on the ground throughout the region hardened Iran's stance during talks in Istanbul.
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NIAC Memo: The Turkey-Brazil-Iran deal: Can Washington take 'yes' for an answer?
Tuesday, May 18, 2010
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
Foreign Policy Magazine - The Brazilian-Turkish diplomatic breakthrough with Iran has taken Washington by surprise. Clearly, the geopolitical center of gravity has shifted-five years of EU-led negotiations led nowhere while the new emerging powers Brazil and Turkey only needed a few months to produce a breakthrough.
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The Hill: Changing Course on Iran Sanctions
Friday, April 23, 2010
By: Patrick Disney and Lara Friedman - Opinion
The debate over U.S.-Iran policy should not be boiled down to a question of how much more damage we can do. Rather, smart power dictates that the U.S. use every tool available, including those that have been taken off the table, such as lifting certain sanctions.
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NIAC Memo: We Must Not Ignore Human Rights in Iran
Thursday, February 11, 2010
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Opinion
Now more than ever, the narrow nuclear focus must be set aside and renewed attention given to the state of human rights in Iran. It is literally a matter of life and death.
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NIAC Memo: How Washington Can Help the Greens in Iran
Tuesday, February 9, 2010
By: Alireza Nader and Dr. Trita Parsi
Torn between the fear of ending up on the wrong side of history by being too cautious and the fear of ending up undermining the pro-democracy movement by being too aggressive, Barack Obama's administration is playing a difficult balancing act.
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Analysis: H.R. 4303 - The Stand with the Iranian People Act
Monday, January 25, 2010
By: Patrick Disney - Analysis
Rep. Keith Ellison (D-MN) introduced H.R. 4303, the Stand with the Iranian People Act (SWIPA), to support the Iranian people's democratic movement by ensuring that America's Iran policy imposes pressure on the Iranian government--not the innocent Iranian people.
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NIAC Memo: Ancient Persian Legacy Still Plays Role in Revolutionary Iran
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
By: Prof. R. K. Ramazani - Analysis
The crackdown on protesters on December 27, 2009 in Iran, which killed a number of people, touched off unprecedented criticism of Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei, the country's supreme leader, who is seen as ruling by divine approval.
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NIAC Memo: Has Iran Reached a Breaking Point?
Sunday, December 27, 2009
By: Dr. Rouzbeh Parsi and Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
With the government growing increasingly desperate - and violent - the new clashes on the streets in Iran may very well prove to be the breaking point of the regime. If so, it shows that the Iranian theocracy ultimately fell on its own sword.
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NIAC Memo: Anatomy of a Nuclear Breakthrough Gone Backwards
Monday, December 21, 2009
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
Less than three months after rising expectations on the possibility of a breakthrough in the negotiations over Iran's nuclear program, hopes of sealing a deal that would transfer the bulk of Iran's low-enriched uranium abroad have dissipated.
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NIAC Memo: To Talk or to Sanction - Obama's Iran Dilemma
Wednesday, September 9, 2009
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
After masterfully - and unilaterally - changing the atmospherics between the two countries to make it more conducive to the success of diplomacy, while pushing back pressure from Israel and Congress to impose artificial deadlines for any negotiations with Iran, hardliners in Iran pulled the rug from under the feet of President Barack Obama.
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NIAC Memo: IRGC Commander Acknowledges Military Involvement in Election Politics
Monday, September 7, 2009
By: Farideh Farhi - Analysis
Islamic Revolution's Guard Corps (IRGC) Commander Major General Mohammad Ali Jafari's speech on September 2, delivered in front of early military leaders of the Iran-Iraq War was the first public acknowledgment of IRGC's direct involvement in the elections and the crackdown.
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Throwing Ahmadinejad a Lifeline
Tuesday, August 18, 2009
By: Prof. Hossein Askari and Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
In an effort to squeeze Iran into submission over its nuclear policy, Congress and the White House are edging toward a gasoline embargo. This would do nothing to force Iran into submission. In fact, it would be a blessing for the hard-line government to once again be able to point to a foreign threat to justify domestic repression and consolidate its base at a time when opposition to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is increasing among conservatives.
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NIAC Memo: The case for a tactical pause with Iran
Thursday, July 30, 2009
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
No one said diplomacy with Iran would be easy. And now, before it even started, the Iranian election crisis has left Tehran politically paralyzed and Washington without a clear diplomatic path ahead.
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NIAC Memo: Reading Independence Day in Iran
Monday, July 6, 2009
By: Wm. Scott Harrop R.K. Ramazani - Analysis
When Americans celebrate the 4th of July, they often forget that the core purpose of the famous document penned by Thomas Jefferson was to declare independence from Great Britain. Had the colonies failed in that struggle for freedom to govern themselves, the Declaration of Independence's famous "unalienable" rights to equality, liberty, and life would have been rendered not self-evident.
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NIAC Memo: What Obama Must Do Now On Iran
Monday, June 22, 2009
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
Tehran is being rocked. Convinced that the landslide victory of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad June 12 was a fraud, hundreds of thousands of Iranians have taken to the streets. Clashes with security forces have left at least 19 dead, according to the official count.
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NIAC Memo: Ahmadinejad's Little Helpers
Monday, June 8, 2009
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
The Democratic House Leadership plans to put the Iran Sanctions Enabling Act of 2009 up for a vote just days ahead of the Iranian presidential election, a move that could strengthen Iranian hardliners
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NIAC Memo: Why Iran's Presidential Race Could Make a Difference
Tuesday, May 26, 2009
By: Babak Rahimi - Analysis
Iran's presidential election is promising to be a major showdown. In what is shaping up to be a highly contested - yet limited - political arena, the upcoming election arrays competing factions that range from pragmatic conservatives to liberal reformists.
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NIAC Memo: Why Roxana?
Tuesday, April 21, 2009
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
Tehran's sentencing of Roxana Saberi to eight years of prison for spying has shocked people inside and outside the country. At a time when President Barack Obama is seeking a dialogue with Tehran, what kind of a signal does Roxana's sentencing send, especially given that the trial failed to meet the basic standards set by international conventions to which Iran is party?
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NIAC Memo: Did Tehran Really Rebuff Obama?
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
Some western reports have characterized Ayatollah Khamenei's response to President Obama's Norooz message as a rebuff, but a closer reading suggest otherwise.
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First-Ever Norooz Resolution Introduced in House of Representatives
Thursday, March 19, 2009
By: NIAC Statement
NIAC welcomes a resolution introduced today by Rep. Michael Honda (D-CA), which honors Norooz and wishes a happy New Year to the Iranian-American community and the people of Iran. The resolution, H.Res. 267, is the first of its kind to be introduced in the House of Representatives.
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NIAC Memo: Iraqi Provincial Elections - What Tehran Has Lost
Thursday, March 5, 2009
By: Babak Rahimi - Analysis
The Iraqi provincial elections have been largely interpreted as a serious blow to Iran. While it signals a major defeat for Iran's hardliners, it is actually a significant strategic victory for its pragmatists.
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NIAC Memo: On Iran, Begin with the End in Mind
Sunday, February 22, 2009
By: Dr. Trita Parsi and Stanley Weiss - Analysis
Only 15 minutes into his term as president, Barack Obama did what his predecessor had refused to do for eight years. He reached out to Iran. His outreach was stronger and swifter than many had expected. It was a wise move, but there should be little surprise that Tehran has yet to fully respond. It won't.
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NIAC Memo: Can Khatami Make a Comeback?
Sunday, February 8, 2009
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
Iran's former President, the soft-spoken Mohammad Khatami, ended months of speculations and revealed his bid to challenge the current Iranian President - the not-so-soft-spoken Mahmoud Ahmadinejad - in the upcoming Presidential elections in June.
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NIAC Memo: What Mutual Respect Means to Iran
Thursday, February 5, 2009
By: Prof. R.K. Ramazani - Opinion
In her first remarks to reporters on Jan. 27, new Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton reiterated President Barack Obama's determination to explore ways to engage Iran.
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NIAC Memo: Israel, Gaza and Iran: Trapping Obama in Imagined Fault Lines
Thursday, January 15, 2009
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
In talking about the assault on Gaza, neo-conservative pundits and Israeli hardliners have relied on a familiar frame. The fighting in Gaza, they say, is a struggle between Israel and so-called "moderate" Arab states (namely, Egypt, Jordan and Saudi Arabia) on the one hand, and Iran, Syria, Hezbollah and Hamas on the other. In reality, Israel is fighting Iran in Gaza, the argument reads. These imagined Manichean fault lines defy logic and reality.
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NIAC Memo: Why Diplomacy and Sanctions Don't Always Mix
Wednesday, December 3, 2008
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
The debate in Washington is no longer whether to negotiate with Iran, but how, when and in what sequence such negotiations should take place. This, however, does not mean that talks will occur or that they will succeed. This is partly due to an unchang-ing feature of the political land-scape in Washington--the reliance on economic sanctions to look tough and to gain leverage.
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NIAC Memo: The Battle for Iran
Sunday, November 30, 2008
By: Dr. John Tirman - Analysis
The battle for Iran is on - for Iran policy, that is - and a ferocious contest is in store. The combatants are former policy makers, scholars, and think tanks. They are issuing position papers and holding press conferences. On the front line of the contest are those with carrots and those with sticks, the ages-old choice in foreign affairs. Fortunately, history and circumstances provide a clear preference.
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NIAC Memo: Iran's About Face on the Status of Forces Agreement
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
By: Dr. Babak Rahimi - Analysis
The recent approval of the security pact by the Iraqi Cabinet, which would require Washington to withdraw its forces by the end of 2011, marks a new development in U.S.-Iran relations.
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NIAC Memo: Why US-Iran Talks Are Good for Israel
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
By: Prof. Mark Katz - Analysis
The recent Russian intervention in Georgia has made an American rapprochement with Iran highly desirable for the United States. Israel has long opposed such a rapprochement, but this would also serve its interests too. Here's why.
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NIAC Memo: How to stop an Iranian bomb
Friday, October 31, 2008
By: Dr. Trita Parsi and Andreas Persbo - Opinion
Ever since Iran publicized its nuclear fuel cycle plans in 2003, western experts have tried to downplay its rate of progress in nuclear engineering.
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NIAC Memo: Who Can Unseat Ahmadinejad?
Saturday, October 25, 2008
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
This election is different. Ahmadinejad will run and he will be the man to beat. At the same time, the extent to which Ahmadinejad's mismanagement of the economy and his office has become part of the Iranian political discourse is unprecedented.
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NIAC Memo: Finding Options on Iran
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
On the eve of his departure from political life, outgoing Israeli Prime Minister Olmert delivered a stinging parting shot - putting under question not only the wisdom of holding on to Palestinian land, but also the feasibility of an Israeli military strike against Iran's nuclear facilities.
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NIAC MEMO: IAEA Declares a Gridlock with Iran
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
With the exception of one potentially important nugget about the possibility of Iran drawing on "foreign expertise" in conducting experiments on a detonator suitable for an implosion-type nuclear weapon, the latest IAEA report offers little that is different from its previous report.
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NIAC Memo: IRGC Reshuffling Aimed at Boosting Political Role
Sunday, July 27, 2008
By: Prof. Babak Rahimi - Analysis
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), the independent elite military force, has recently undergone a major transformation in its command authority with the apparent aim of boosting its political role in Iran. The new leadership assigned by the supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, includes key appointments to the newly formed thirty-one command units of the Revolutionary Guard.
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Will Iran Freeze?
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
Upon his return to Iran from Geneva Iran's chief nuclear negotiator, Saeed Jalili, was quite clear in only one respect. Responding to a question from the Iranian press, he stated that in Geneva there was no discussion of Iran's suspension of uranium enrichment. Jalili is right. The Geneva talks were not supposed to be about suspension.
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NIAC Memo: Reading Solana in Tehran
Monday, July 7, 2008
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
Conciliatory noises from Tehran over the nuclear issue have left Washington and Brussels baffled, and unconvinced of Iran's intentions. Having grown accustomed to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's uncompromising language, Tehran's new tone has raised more suspicion than hope among cynics in Western capitals.
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Washington Times Op-Ed -- HConRes 362: Blockading Iran to war
Sunday, July 6, 2008
By: Prof. Cyrus Bina and Col. Sam Gardiner - Opinion
Markets have been watching every move of President Bush and the Israeli government to decipher whether war with Iran is in the making. Few expected, however, that the equivalent of a green light for war would come from our Democratic-controlled Congress. That is what Congress is preparing to do through a resolution calling for a de facto naval blockade in the Persian Gulf to prohibit Iran from importing refined petroleum products.
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The Alternative to an Israeli Attack on Iran
Tuesday, July 1, 2008
By: Shlomo Ben-Ame and Trita Parsi - Opinion
In an op-ed in the Christian Science Monitor on July 2, 2008, former Israeli Foreign Minister Shlomo Ben-Ami and NIAC President Trita Parsi argue that there is no military solution to the Iranian nuclear stand-off and that the tendency to view consequences of war with great optimism and challenges of diplomacy with great skepticism must be corrected.
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NIAC Memo: Beneath Bravado, Iran Prepares for US Attack
Tuesday, July 1, 2008
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
A recent interview with the commander of the Islamic Revolution's Guard Corps (IRGC) reveals important details regarding the current state of thinking in Tehran about Iran's preparation for an attack and its assessment of US and Israeli capabilities
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Transcript of "Breaking the Stalemate" Conference on Capitol Hill available for download
Monday, June 30, 2008
By: NIAC Press Release
Full transcripts of NIAC's Capitol Hill conference "Breaking the US-Iran Stalemate: Finding the Nuclear Fix in the Wake of the Majlis elections" with Senator Dianne Feinstein, Ambassador Tom Pickering and Dr. Hans Blix is now available for download.
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NIAC memo: Why Tehran Will Reject the New Incentive Package
Thursday, June 19, 2008
By: Dr. Babak Rahimi - Analysis
Iran's likely rejection of the new incentive package to halt the country's nuclear enrichment program has opened a new chapter in Tehran's successive transgression of nuclear demarcations.
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NIAC Memo: Who Is Making Tehran's Iraq Policy?
Thursday, June 12, 2008
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
One of the most curious aspects of reporting on Iran is the never-ending search for finding the one person that "really" makes policy.
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NIAC Memo: The Implications of Ali Larijani's Election
Wednesday, June 11, 2008
By: Dr. Babak Rahimi - Analysis
The election of Ali Larijani as the new speaker of Iran's parliament marks a major development within the faction-ridden politics of the Islamic Republic.
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NIAC Memo: Larijani's Election Can Boost Congressional Diplomacy
Thursday, June 5, 2008
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
Iranian Nobel prize laureate Shirin Ebadi has long argued that the United States and Iran need to have a dialogue with each other at three different levels: between their executive branches, between their civil societies and between their legislatures.
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NIAC Memo: How (not) to Win the Hearts and Minds of Iranians
Tuesday, May 20, 2008
By: Prof. Babak Rahimi - Analysis
One of the oddest consequences of U.S. sanctions toward Iran is how it has compelled ordinary Iranians, particularly pro-democracy elements, to help strengthen the Islamic Republic's claim to rule.
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NIAC Memo: Can P5+1 Offer Break the Nuclear Stalemate?
Saturday, May 10, 2008
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
The P5+1 -- the permanent members of the U.N. Security Council and Germany -- will present Tehran with a secret incentive package in the next few days to convince Iran to suspend its enrichment program and enter negotiations.
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NIAC Memo: Helping the Mullahs, Hurting the Poor
Monday, April 28, 2008
By: Babak Rahimi - Analysis
U.S. and European sanctions are not only failing to achieve their stated aims, they are also strengthening an Iranian government that has become more despotic since the 2003 U.S.-led invasion of Iraq.
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Video of NIAC's Senate Conference Panel II
Thursday, April 24, 2008
By: NIAC Press Release
NIAC's Senate conference "Breaking the US-Iran Stalemate" is now available on youtube. Below are the clips from Panel II: Beyond Zero Enrichment - Finding the Nuclear Fix.
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NIAC Memo: Will Iran's New Majles Pose a Challenge to Ahmadinejad?
Monday, March 17, 2008
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
Iran's parliamentary (Majles) elections finally took place on Friday March 14. Despite a conservative win, chances are that the new Majles will provide a tougher political landscape for Ahmadinejad on economic grounds but not on nuclear and foreign policy issues.
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NIAC Memo: IAEA'S Latest Iran Report: Time to Move on
Friday, February 29, 2008
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
The latest IAEA safeguards report on Iran's nuclear activities is an important report that brings an end to almost all the technical issues that in the past five years have concerned the IAEA regarding Iran's declared civilian nuclear program.
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NIAC Memo: On the Hazards of Over-Interpreting Iranian Politics
Monday, January 28, 2008
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
The relationship between Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, and various presidents of Iran has always been a fascinating topic particularly for those looking into Iran from the outside.
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NIAC Memo: How to Prevent War at the Strait of Hormuz?
Thursday, January 17, 2008
By: Prof. R. K. R.K. Ramazani - Analysis
The recent naval encounter between the US and Iran extended their cold war for the first time to the strategic Strait of Hormuz. Such incidents could escalate into armed conflict, with catastrophic consequences for the world economy, especially the price of oil.
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NIAC Memo: Will Naval Incident Undermine Bush's Iran Message?
Wednesday, January 9, 2008
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
t is by now almost routine. With recurring frequency, U.S. leaders tour the Middle East depicting Iran as the region's greatest threat. As such, President George W. Bush's visit to the Middle East this week has historic precedent.
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NIAC Memo: Iran's "Unduly Provocative" Act against the US Navy?
Tuesday, January 8, 2008
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
Unduly provocative" was the term used by Vice Admiral Kevin J. Cosgriff, who commands U.S. Naval Forces Central Command, to characterize the incident that just took place between the Islamic Revolution's Guard Corps and the US Navy
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NIAC memo: Breaking Israel's Strategic Paralysis on Iran
Monday, December 31, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
Israel is in state of strategic paralysis. Its longstanding policy on Iran - depict Tehran as a global threat, pressure Washington to prevent Iran from going nuclear, and evade an American-Iranian dialogue - has been dealt a severe blow by the recently released National Intelligence Estimate.
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NIAC Applauds Proposal to Enable Iranians' Online Activities
Friday, December 14, 2007
By: NIAC Staff
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NIAC Memo: US - Iran Dialogue Key to Regional Stability?
Wednesday, December 12, 2007
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
One day after he identified Iran as a grave threat to regional security even without nuclear weapons, Defense Secretary Robert Gates received a friendly advice from one of Washington's key allies in the region.
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NIAC Memo: Iran in the Shadow of Annapolis
Wednesday, December 12, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
In light of the National Intelligence Estimate on Iran released last week, the Bush administration's choice to exclude Iran from the Annapolis meeting in late November looks all the more foolhardy.
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NIAC Memo: Is the Iran NIE a Blessing in Disguise for Israel?
Friday, December 7, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
The U.S. National Intelligence Estimate's assertion that Iran currently does not have a nuclear weapons program has caused much frustration in Israel.
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NIAC Memo: Can the NIE Evade the Risk for War?
Wednesday, December 5, 2007
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
The conclusions of the 2007 NIE should undermine any legitimacy the idea of military action has had in the United States and be seen as part and parcel of the debate that has been going on the in the United States between promoters of coercive diplomacy and military action
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Parsi: Policy should be adjusted to NIE Reality Check
Tuesday, December 4, 2007
By: NIAC Staff
With no weapon program, justification for suspension precondition eliminated
Contact: Trevor FitzGibbon
Fenton Communications
202 246 5303
The President's comments today further fueled the perception that the White House pursues policies detached from reality. In spite of the National Intelligence Estimate stating that Iran has ended its weapons program, the president insisted that the military option remains on the table. Rather than adjusting policy on Iran in accordance to the reality-check provided by the NIE, the President moved the goal post on Iran. As the NIE declared that Iran likely doesn't have a weapons program, the President shifted the red line from weaponization to the mere knowledge of enriching uranium - an activity that in and of itself is not of a military nature and is permitted by the Non-Proliferation Treaty.
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NIAC Memo: An Inconvenient Reality: Sunnis Remain Source of Most Foreign Fighters in Iraq
Friday, November 30, 2007
By: Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
The Bush Administration continues to ignore the realities of the Iraq insurgency's makeup in its bid to pressure Iran
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IAEA-Iran Cooperation Accentuates Political Nature of Dispute
Sunday, November 25, 2007
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi
Washington DC - The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) November 2007 report on Iran was much anticipated because of the agreement on a work plan regarding a time frame for the resolution of "outstanding issues" that had remained regarding Iran's past activities. Based on this agreement Iran was expected to cooperate and divulge information that would allow the IAEA to assess whether Iran has come clean on its past activities. This process is still ongoing with IAEA director El Baradei on record as saying that Iran's agreement with the agency "is proceeding according to schedule."
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NIAC Memo: U.S. Sanctions on Iran: Will They Work?
Friday, November 23, 2007
By: Prof. R.K. Ramazani - Analysis
The Bush administration's latest unilateral sanctions on Iran are likely to fail. The debate over whether or not these sanctions will work has so far focused on economic considerations. Psychological and political factors, however, are more important.
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NIAC Memo: Seven Myths about Iran
Thursday, November 15, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
The ill-informed foreign policy debate on Iran contributes to a paradigm of enmity between the United States and Iran, which limits the foreign policy options of future US administrations to various forms of confrontation while excluding more constructive approaches.
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NIAC Memo: Factionalism and Iran's Ruling Elite: Reality or Illusion?
Wednesday, November 14, 2007
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
It behooves U.S. policy makers to take note of factional struggles in Tehran when developing effective policies that protect U.S. interests and advance U.S. goals, particularly when seeking to alter Tehran's behavior.
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NIAC Memo: Assessing the Iran-IAEA Nuclear Workplan
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
By: Dr. Bahram Rajee - Analysis
With the unexpected resignation of chief Iranian nuclear negotiator Ali Larijani from his post this week, Iranian factional politics once again threaten to obstruct recent progress made in Iran's negotiations with the IAEA.
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NIAC Memo: A Sober Analysis of Iran
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
Despite a fixation on Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's hardline statements, Iran's rhetoric has only translated into actual policy when Tehran deemed that its ideological and strategic imperatives coincided
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NIAC op-ed in the Hill: Fund bridges, not failed policy
Tuesday, September 11, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi and Emily Blout
Washington DC - Congress is adept at throwing money at a problem. Far better to continue doling out cash on a project than to admit it's not working. Or is it? After all, bridges are falling. We are facing major challenges in Iraq. Millions are without health insurance. In a time when the budget is increasingly stretched, Congress should reassess its spending -- particularly on programs that have done more damage than good. The Iran democracy fund is a prime example of such a program.
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NIAC Memo: Bush Indictment of Iran Tops Usual Rhetoric
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
The George W. Bush administration has seemingly taken advantage of the Congressional recess to escalate tensions with Iran.
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NIAC Publishes Transcripts and Video of Human Rights Conference on Capitol Hill
Thursday, August 23, 2007
By: NIAC Staff
Washington DC - The transcripts and video of the National Iranian American Council's conference on Human Rights in Iran on July 26, 2007 on Capitol Hill are now available online. The conference, titled "Human Rights in Iran and US foreign policy op" featured numerous high-power speakers, including Alex Arriaga (Amnesty International), Joe Stork (Human Rights Watch), John Tirman (MIT), Laura Secor (The New Yorker) as well as Congressmen Jim Moran (D-VA), Mike Honda (D-CA) and Tom Tancredo (R-CO).
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NIAC Memo: Terror Label for Guard Corp Entrenches US-Iran Enmity
Tuesday, August 14, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
The White House's decision to designate the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps as a terrorist organization could deal a double blow to efforts to utilize diplomacy with Iran to stabilize Iraq.
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NIAC Memo: A New Cold War with Iran?
Monday, August 13, 2007
By: Dr. John Tirman - Analysis
We often hear that the US-Iran confrontation is a new Cold War, but the standoff is not like the US-Soviet conflict and it could be dangerous to think that it is
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NIAC Memo: Success in U.S.-Iran Security Talks Requires Balanced View
Tuesday, July 24, 2007
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
he United States and Iran met yesterday in Baghdad to discuss the security situation in Iraq, building on a groundbreaking initial meeting in May. This time, despite a more tense dialogue, a tangible gain has emerged.
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NIAC Welcomes Second Round of US-Iran Talks
Tuesday, July 17, 2007
By: NIAC Staff
Contact: Trevor FitzGibbon, Alex Howe
Fenton Communications
202-246-5303, 202-822-5200
Unrealistic Expectations Renders Diplomacy More Challenging
Washington DC - NIAC welcomes the second round of US-Iran talks on the security situation in Iraq and calls for an expansion of the discussions to include issues of contention between the two countries. The talks should take place sooner rather than later in order to prevent the security situation in Iraq from deteriorating further.
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NIAC Memo: Iran's Security Outlook
Friday, July 13, 2007
By: Dr. Farideh Farhi - Analysis
Widespread apprehension attended the June 2005 election of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to the presidency of the Islamic Republic of Iran, at least among those Iranians who had approved of the country's direction under the reformist clerics led by President Mohammad Khatami.
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NIAC Memo: Iraq - One-Sided Focus on Iran's Role Counterproductive
Thursday, July 12, 2007
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
Too often overlooked in the U.S.-Iran policy debate is the reality that for either the U.S. or Iran to achieve their objectives in Iraq, the other must be relatively successful as well. It is this complexity and interdependence that underscores the danger of painting U.S.-Iran relations in Iraq as a zero-sum game.
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NIAC Memo: Might the U.S., Iran Cooperate on Al-Qaida?
Thursday, June 21, 2007
By: Prof. R. K. Ramazani - Analysis
Talks between America and Iran in Baghdad will mark the first official thaw in U.S.-Iranian relations, frozen since 1980. More importantly, the talks could lead to a vital partnership between Washington and Tehran against al-Qaida, the greatest single terrorist threat in the world today.
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NIAC Memo: New War Rhetoric Undercuts Iraq Talks
Monday, June 11, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
U.S. Senator Joseph Lieberman's call for cross-border raids into Iran appears to be the culmination of a two-week long campaign by proponents of war to put the military option centre-stage in the U.S. debate over Iran once more.
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NIAC Memo: U.S.-Iran Convergence in Iraq?
Thursday, May 31, 2007
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
U.S. and Iranian officials met this week in face-to-face discussions regarding the security situation in Iraq. The talks were described by the U.S. representative Ryan Crocker as "businesslike," by Iranian representative Hassan Kazemi Qomi as "frank and transparent," and by both parties as "positive."
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NIAC Memo: The Challenges in Forcing Iranian "Behavior Change"
Thursday, May 24, 2007
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
An IAEA report released this week confirms that Iran now has 1,300 centrifuges operating--a significant increase in just the past few months. The finding prompted IAEA Secretary General Mohammad El Baradei to controversially conclude that despite persistent technical problems, Iran now "pretty much knows how to enrich."
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NIAC Memo: Scholars Bear Brunt of Anti-Diplomacy Backlash
Tuesday, May 22, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
With only a few days left until the United States and Iran are expected to hold much anticipated talks, several factors point to the potential for a real diplomatic breakthrough.
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Lawmakers Discuss Iran Policy at NIAC Lunch Briefing
Wednesday, May 16, 2007
By: Babak Talebi
Washington DC During a congressional Lunch Briefing sponsored by NIAC and the Congressional Dialogue Caucus, Joe Volk of the Friends Committee on National Legislation gave a presentation of his recent trip to Iran. Volk, who was part of a religious delegation that traveled to Iran in February of 2007, describing his experiences, including his assessments of the diplomatic situation based on talks with several Iranian officials, including the Iranian President.
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NIAC Memo: Can Europe End the Lose-Lose Game with Iran?
Wednesday, May 9, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
As the world powers gather in Berlin this week to discuss new punitive measures against Iran's nuclear programme, Europe is faced with a daunting task.
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Tehran's Delay of Talks in Sharm el-Sheikh a Missed Opportunity
Friday, May 4, 2007
By: NIAC Staff
Contact:
Trevor FitzGibbon
Fenton Communications
202-246-5303
Washington DC - Tehran missed an opportunity in Sharm el-Sheikh this past weekend to kick-start a high-level dialogue with the United States. Even though expectations may have been exaggerated about what the meeting could achieve, the Iranian foreign minister's failure to engage in direct dialogue on substantive issues with Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is a setback for the nascent and fragile diplomatic process.
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NIAC Memo: A Counterproductive Precondition
Thursday, April 12, 2007
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
The Bush Administration's insistence on placing preconditions on engagement with Iran has not only prevented nuclear talks, but also diplomacy regarding Iraq and America's position in the Middle East
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NIAC memo: Supporting Terror to Destabilize Iran Will Backfire
Wednesday, April 4, 2007
By: Bahram Rajaee
New reports indicate the Bush administration is encouraging an ethnic Baluchi, Sunni Muslim "militant group" in Pakistan in a campaign of violence against Iran to destabilize that country. Destabilizing the largest regional power in the Middle East through terror is dangerous: it bolsters Iranian radicals by giving credence to their claims of the U.S. seeks Iran's dismemberment; undermines the U.S. claim that it is opposed to terrorism with tragic irony; and opens the door to an even wider zone of regional conflict and instability. On balance, this and similar efforts will only succeed in making Iran increasingly difficult to deal with. Given that the U.S. is currently in no position to engage in the required military action to implement regime change Iran; hard questions must be asked of current Bush administration policies regarding that country.
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NIAC memo: Supporting Terror to Destabilize Iran Will Backfire
Wednesday, April 4, 2007
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
New reports indicate the Bush administration is encouraging an ethnic Baluchi, Sunni Muslim "militant group" in Pakistan in a campaign of violence against Iran to destabilize that country.
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NIAC Memo: Duel for leverage fuels conflict, not diplomacy
Thursday, March 29, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
As the dispute over Iran's seizure of British sailors continues to twist and turn, what may have been an isolated incident at the outset is quickly developing into yet another move in the geopolitical chess game between the West and Iran.
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NIAC Publishes Transcripts of February Capitol Hill Conference on Iran
Wednesday, March 28, 2007
By: NIAC Staff
Washington DC - Transcripts of National Iranian American Council and the New America Foundation's conference on US-Iran relations on February 14, 2007 on Capitol Hill are now available online. The conference, titled "US-Iran relations: collision, stand-off, or convergence?" featured numerous high-power speakers, including Professor Francis Fukuyama, Congresswoman Jane Harman, Colonel Larry Wilkerson, Colin Powell's Chief of Staff, Flynt Leverett of the New America Foundation, Bruno Pellaud, former deputy chief of safe guards at the IAEA, Daniel Levy, former advisor to Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak, and Trita Parsi, President of NIAC.
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NIAC Memo: How Not to Foster Democracy in Iran
Sunday, March 25, 2007
By: Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
The path to greater democratization in Iran is dependent primarily on internal Iranian politics.
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NIAC Interview with Payvand: Iranian-Americans are double stake-holders in peace between US and Iran
Tuesday, February 27, 2007
By: Payvand.com Cowl
Payvand: What currently occupies Iranian-Americans' minds is the worries that their adopted country will go into war with their home country. The overwhelming majority of them are against this war. Yet, there is a high likelihood this unpopular war may actually happen. What are your thoughts on this?
NIAC: I think the vast majority of Iranian Americans in the US are very concerned about the risk for war. In a way, Iranian Americans are double-stakeholders in situation. As Americans, they do not wish to see any of their American friends, neighbors and relatives die in an unnecessary conflict. And as Americans of Iranian descent, they don't want to see their grandmothers bombed in Iran. So Iranian Americans have plenty of incentives to see a peaceful solution to the stand-off.
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NIAC Memo: Will Surge Hurt US More Than Sanctions Hurt Iran?
Sunday, February 25, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
The winds of fortune in the Iranian nuclear stand-off seem to have shifted, judging by the U.S.'s new confidence. But in Washington's apparent quest to get an upper hand, misreading the causes of the backlash against President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in Iran may cause the U.S. to lose rather than gain leverage.
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Supporting a Wise Iran Policy: What Congress Can Do
Tuesday, February 13, 2007
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee
In recent months the Bush administration has significantly increased American pressure on Iran-directly contradicting the recommendations of the Iraq Study Group to engage Tehran diplomatically. While Iran poses numerous challenges to the US, military confrontation with Iran will only exacerbate these problems.
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NIAC Memo: What if Iran Suspends? A Western Dilemma
Thursday, January 25, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
As the Feb. 21 deadline for Iran to halt its uranium enrichment programme fast approaches, both Iran and the West are scrambling to prepare themselves for all possible moves by the other side.
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NIAC Memo: Bush's Iraq Plan - Goading Iran into War
Thursday, January 11, 2007
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
President George W. Bush's address on Iraq Wednesday night was less about Iraq than about its eastern neighbor, Iran.
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NIAC Memo: Confronting Iran Won't End Iranian Influence in Iraq
Thursday, January 11, 2007
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
Risking direct conflict with Iran at this critical juncture in Iraq's post-Saddam history threatens to envelop that country and the region in a far more costly and destabilizing conflict.
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NIAC Memo: Will Sanctions Hurt or Aid Iran?
Sunday, December 24, 2006
By: Jalil Roshandel and Dr. Trita Paris - Analysis
More than twenty-five years of sanctions on Iran have inflicted some economic pain, but failed to alter Tehran's behavior. By impeding the development of Iran's oil sector, US sanctions have inadvertently contributed to the rise in oil prices. With demand for oil growing, sanctions may aid rather than harm Iran by further increasing the price of oil.
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NIAC Memo: Blair's Messege Echo Past Failure
Thursday, December 21, 2006
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
British Prime Minister Tony Blair has been touring the Middle East with the message that, to make peace, Iran must be isolated. But promoting Israeli-Palestinian peacemaking by isolating Iran failed in the 1990s and is likely to fail again.
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NIAC Issue Brief: Implementing the Iraq Study Group's Recommendations on Iran
Tuesday, December 19, 2006
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
The Iraq Study Group's memorandum examines Iranian activities and interests in Iraq and presents some specific thoughts on next steps the Bush administration could take
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NIAC Memo: The Fantasy of A "Sunni Bulwark" to Stabilize Iraq
Sunday, December 3, 2006
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
The Bush administration is attempting to form an Arab "Sunni bulwark" to counter growing Iranian (Shi'a) influence in the region.
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Election Analysis: Democrats Now Share Responsibility For Iraq and Iran
Wednesday, November 8, 2006
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
The 2006 midterm elections have yielded Democratic control of both the U.S. House and Senate in what can be seen as a direct repudiation of the Bush administration. The Bush White House is now faced with a difficult context in which to continue its current "full speed ahead" approach to Iraq.
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NIAC Memo: Iran Is Key to Course Change on Iraq
Wednesday, November 8, 2006
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
Two political earthquakes hit the United States this week. On Tuesday, the Democrats took control of Congress, and the following day, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld was replaced by Robert Gates, a member of the senior Bush's foreign policy team.
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NIAC Issue Brief: Why Iran Is a Different Challenge to the US
Sunday, October 29, 2006
By: Dr.Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
The US must overcome Washington's lack of leverage with Iran produced by nonexistent relations over the past 26 years and reassess Iran policy in a post-Cold War, post-9/11 world
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NIAC Issue Brief: Tehran's Iraq Strategy: Can It Help Or Only Hurt US Interests?
Tuesday, October 10, 2006
By: NIAC Staff - Analysis
To prevent an escalation with Tehran, Washington must commit itself to fully appreciating the range of Iranian interests while assessing their implications in a clear-eyed manner
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NIAC Memo: The Khomeini Letter - Is Rafsanjani Warning the Hardliners?
Monday, October 9, 2006
By: Dr. Rasool Nafisi - Analysis
A written correspondence between the late Ayatollah Khomeini and the then commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards (IRGC), Mohsen Rezai, has given some insight into why Iran accepted a ceasefire with Iraq in 1988.
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NIAC Memo: Will UN Sanctions Make the Nuclear Impasse Unsolvable?
Thursday, October 5, 2006
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
Iran's refusal to suspend uranium enrichment is rapidly leading to the reconsideration of its nuclear dossier by the UN Security Council. For the P5+1, the outstanding questions continue to be (a) what the likely outcome of greater pressure will be, and (b) what alternative approaches will have been foregone as the conflict escalates.
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NIAC Memo: Iran's French Offer - Can It Bridge The Political Divide?
Monday, October 2, 2006
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
Iran floated the idea of a French consortium this morning, led by EURODIF, to oversee Iran's uranium enrichment activities. EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana noted that the idea was "interesting" and should be examined further.
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NIAC Memo: Italy Boosts Talks on Iran But Real Test Lies Ahead
Tuesday, September 19, 2006
By: Trita Parsi - Analysis
After a tense week with several U.S. allies breaking ranks with the George W. Bush administration on Iran, an agreement has been reached to give diplomacy a bit more time.
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The Iranian nuclear stand-off: A political or technical problem?
Sunday, September 17, 2006
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - News
The deadlock over Iran's nuclear program has political rather than technical roots. The appetite for sanctions or a confrontation with Iran is waning among US allies, making it all the more difficult to explore technical compromises.
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NIAC Memo: Rush to Sanctions Is a Slippery Slope Towards Military Action
Monday, August 21, 2006
By: Dr. Trita Parsi - Analysis
U.S. should pursue a resolution of all outstanding issues with Iran as soon as possible. Iran's response to the P5+1 proposal, which likely will fall short of Washington's expectations, should not be regarded as the end of the diplomatic track. Doing so would put the US on a slippery slope towards military action. Both containment of Iran and limited engagement has proven unsuccessful. Containment failed because Iran is too strong to be contained, and limited engagement failed because it failed to address Iran's sense of threat from the US. In addition, negotiating with Iran on limited issues such as uranium enrichment fails to take into account the many other concerns Washington has with Tehran, including Lebanon, Iraq and the human rights situation in Iran.
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NIAC Memo: Responding to an Iranian Counter-Proposal: The Lessons of Lebanon
Sunday, August 20, 2006
By: Dr. Gareth Porter - Analysis
Iran will respond to the P5+1 proposal by Tuesday, August 22. The Iranians are expected to neither give a firm approval nor a categorical rejection. Rather, Tehran will likely seek to initiate negotiations with the West without agreeing to suspend enrichment activities
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NIAC Memo:The P5+1 Proposal: What's in it for Iran?
Tuesday, August 15, 2006
By: NIAC Staff
If Iran insists on negotiating revisions to the P5+1 package proposal given to Iran on June 5, should that be viewed as the end the diplomatic process?
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NIAC Issue Brief: Influencing Iran's Nuclear Options
Monday, August 7, 2006
By: NIAC Staff - Analysis
By looking at the complete list of Iranian options and interests, the US can identify the best course of action to peacefully resolve the Iranian nuclear issue
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NIAC Issue Brief: Is Iran Behind the War in Lebanon?
Monday, July 24, 2006
By: NIAC Staff - Analysis
The Israeli assault on Lebanon, instigated by a cross-border raid and kidnapping by Hezbollah, raises new demands from neoconservatives in the United States for military confrontation with Iran
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NIAC Memo:The Suspension Precondition: Lessons from Past EU-Iran Negotiation
Thursday, July 13, 2006
By: NIAC Staff - News
As the P5 + 1 discuss the fact that Iran has not yet responded to the June 6 proposal, media coverage has lost sight of the centrality of the proposal's precondition for talks in the present diplomatic conflict.
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NIAC Memo: The July 5 Deadline for Iran to Respond to US-Sponsored Proposal
Saturday, July 1, 2006
By: Dr. Bahram Rajaee - Analysis
Iran and the six world powers including the US are currently engaged in pre-negotiations in which both sides seek to impose their own arbitrary deadlines on the other. The question is whether such deadlines are helpful towards resolving the Iranian stand-off and advancing Washington's non-proliferation policy.
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Senate Appropriators Fully Fund Iran Democracy Initiatives
Friday, April 21, 2006
By: Shervin Boloorian - News
On April 5, 2006, the Senate Appropriations Committee by a wide margin approved a war and hurricane relief supplemental spending plan which included $75 million in funding for Iran pro-democracy programs.
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