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US-Iran Media Resource
NIAC Memo: Iran's Awakening
Written by Ali Fatemi   
Wednesday, 20 January 2010
Washington, DC - Events of the last few months in Iran indicate that her dark days are numbered. On December 27th, on the occasion of Ashura, the most holy day of Islam's Shiite branch, hundreds of thousands of Iranians poured onto the streets of major Iranian cities. Crowds angry at the regime buttressed the ranks of mourners commemorating the death of Prophet Mohammad's grandson. Seeking the safety, and the sanctity, of the occasion, they had come out to vent against the tyranny of a morally corrupt regime bent on its own survival at all costs. However, the regime was prepared to squelch the protesters, and YouTube is not littered with graphic videos of the mayhem that followed. These amount to what can be considered an allegory of the death of the regime in Tehran.

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NIAC Memo: Has Iran Reached a Breaking Point?
Written by Dr. Rouzbeh Parsi and Dr. Trita Parsi   
Sunday, 27 December 2009

The Daily Beast - With the government growing increasingly desperate-and violent-the new clashes on the streets in Iran may very well prove to be the breaking point of the regime. If so, it shows that the Iranian theocracy ultimately fell on its own sword. It didn't come to an end due to the efforts of exiled opposition groups or the regime change schemes of Washington's neo-conservatives. Rather, the Iranian people are the main characters in this drama, using the very same symbols that brought the Islamic Republic into being to close this chapter in a century-old struggle for democracy.

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NIAC Memo: Anatomy of a Nuclear Breakthrough Gone Backwards
Written by Dr. Farideh Farhi   
Monday, 21 December 2009

Less than three months after rising expectations on the possibility of a breakthrough in the negotiations over Iran's nuclear program, hopes of sealing a deal that would transfer the bulk of Iran's low-enriched uranium abroad have dissipated.

Yet another attempt to engender trust between the US and Iran has instead led to more distrust and Obama's mantra about "talking to Iran" looks more and more like the Bush administration's policy: all sticks and no carrots. The hoped-for transfer of Iran's LEU abroad is on the verge of becoming a precondition for further substantive talks, placing the Obama administration where the Bush administration was for years, insisting on the suspension of all enrichment-related activities before negotiations could begin.

The present impasse cannot last, and a risky confrontation could easily ensue. Cooler heads, of course, could prevail, leading both sides to set aside the rancor surrounding the deal and return to the negotiating table. If talks do resume, both sides should study their missteps closely.

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NIAC Memo: To Talk or to Sanction - Obama's Iran Dilemma
Written by Dr. Trita Parsi   
Wednesday, 09 September 2009

The Obama administration set out its presidency with an ambitious agenda for the Middle East. US troops were to be withdrawn from a stabilized Iraq, additional resources allocated to win the peace in Afghanistan, a renewed push for a viable peace in Israel and Palestine and, perhaps as a key to all of the above, diplomacy with Iran. After masterfully - and unilaterally - changing the atmospherics between the two countries to make it more conducive to the success of diplomacy, while pushing back pressure from Israel and Congress to impose artificial deadlines for any negotiations with Iran, hardliners in Iran pulled the rug from under the feet of President Barack Obama.

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NIAC Memo: IRGC Commander Acknowledges Military Involvement in Election Politics
Written by Dr. Farideh Farhi   
Monday, 07 September 2009

Islamic Revolution’s Guard Corps (IRGC) Commander Major General Mohammad Ali Jafari’s speech on September 2, delivered in front of early military leaders of the Iran-Iraq War is significant for several reasons. First, it is noteworthy for his public acknowledgment of IRGC’s direct involvement in the elections and the crackdown. This acknowledgment came in reference to a February 2009 statement by former president Mohammad Khatami According to Jafari, Khatami said, “If in this election Ahmadinejad falls, then rahbari [office of the leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei] will be effectively eliminated…through the defeat of principlists, we must contain the power of rahbari.”

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